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Thursday, 1 February 2007

The Rise of Google and The Fall of Yahoo


Among today's leading "pure play" Internet companies--Yahoo (
YHOO), Google (GOOG), eBay (EBAY) and Amazon (AMZN)--which one will grow to become the largest over the next few decades?1 I believe, Google will be THE ONE.

No doubt, Yahoo! is the largest during the early era of the
internet. Later on after that, Amazon rise as the famous online bookstore, followed by recent eBay booming, but all of that is just a small crumb of famosity compared to the latest giant Google's Adsense.

Regardless of how good Google performed in the stock market, and how the rests performed in the stock market,
in reality, Google will win the competition.2 The significant reasons and logic will be explained below.


Advertising Affiliation Program

The ranking among all of them is:
  1. Google as the winner, followed by
  2. Amazon as the runner up,
  3. eBay as the third, and
  4. Yahoo! as the last.
Google has the most famous and effective advertising campaign with its Adsense program.3 The Adsense program used the effective 'peer to peer' system, by opening a relatively easy affiliation opportunity to any web developer, professional or not, large or small.4 Of course, this system is not monopolized by Google alone.

Amazon, eBay, and Yahoo! also have 'similar to Adsense' advertising program. The significant difference among them is just
Scope of Implementation.
  1. Citizen all over the world could participate in the Google's Adsense program, and citizen from 42 different countries could accept payment in their own currency.5
  2. Amazon's Associates cannot compare to Adsense strength, but still, people all over the world could join it. Participants from countries not in the list of payment could opt to receive payment in the form of gift certificates which could be used to shop in Amazon.
  3. eBay ads program is helped by Paypal existence, so that the participants from countries facilitated by Paypal could participate.
  4. Yahoo! is the last of the pack, because Yahoo! limit its affiliation opportunity to USA citizens or residents. Something that never change from the first time, and there is no indication that its policy will change in the near future.
I believe that all people will agree that the wider the area of advertising, the more effective it is. The more people advertise it, the more effective it is.


Website/Blog Developing

Blogging has become the world's lifestyle today.6To the limit of my knowledge, eBay and Amazon has not join the competition in this area. Only Yahoo! and Google does. Specifically in Blogging, Google affiliated with Blogger, while Yahoo! have Yahoo!360, and affiliated with Wordpress and Movable Type.

For sure, all of them had advantages and disadvantages, but in term of 'user-friendly,' BloggerBlogger made available to the user:
leaves Yahoo!'s behind.
  • the 'drag-drop' menu for website lay out design; and
  • option to easily insert third parties' html code or script (in the end, this option is frequently used by the user to insert html code or script of third parties advertisement, such as Google's Adsense, Amazon's Associates, or others like: AdultFriendFinder, or Shareloading.
Until now, as a beginner in blogging, I never have any idea as to how to insert an html code or script for advertising in Yahoo!'s Blog Pages.

Some people blog for pleasure only, to kill the time, but most people today blog FOR MONEY!! The end result is obvious, many people, especially the beginner, will be drawn to use Blogger for blogging.


Knowledge Share

Google has not specific program to be compared with Yahoo! Answers. Every people could ask something in this forum, and other people will answer it. This is also a form of peer to peer system.

If we look further, every answer in Yahoo! Answers is not compensated by Yahoo! even for a single penny! Every contribution is just compensated by an 'abstract' point that is useless for any purpose. Yes, some people are satisfied enough to know that they could solve others' problems in their own pastime, but for most people,
"what is it for me if I could contribute?"

That is why, many people leave it and go to other websites who are willing to share their profits
with the content contributors. There are many of them, like: Helium, Epinions, Bloggerparty, or Universal Class.

Although Google has no specific program to compete with it, the Blogger is definitely could compete with it. Most people will go to any place where they could financially gain something for their contributions, than to go somewhere else that never appreciate their contributions financially.


Website and Search Engine

It must be admitted that in the past,
Google's Website is one of the worst, but in times, Google has evolve. Now, users could opt for simple web pages as used to be, or choose customize web pages display, with customized contents!

Until this time, all Yahoo! could offer to the user is just
customized display!

Amazon also have search engine, but because its business is more focused to online store, its significance is greatly reduced.


E-mail


Amazon and eBay is excluded from this competition area, because they do not have and offer this service to their users.

Both Google G-mail and Yahoo! has their own advantages and disadvantages. While Yahoo! may have the largest market share because of its long existence in the
Internet, G-mail took it from Yahoo! bits by bits.

Yahoo! Mail is easier to setup then G-mail, but to have Yahoo! Mail account, user faced more spam and junk mail, more than if the user used G-mail.

G-mail also made available for user the option of simple html display. This is a great advantage for user with a slow
Internet connection. G-mail also have more free storage (more than 2 Gigabytes) capacity than Yahoo! Mail (only 1 Gigabytes.


Partnership

Google has made many partnership relations. The most significant impact comes from the partnership with Mozilla
Firefox Browser. The incorporation of Google Search Box in the Browser plays a very important role in increasing the usage of Google Search Engine.

Recent acquisition of
YouTube by Google also does have a major role in increasing the traffic of Google's business, implicating to the increasing of potential market for Google's businesses to penetrate.


Conclusion

Google is certainly will be the one to win the competition, because:
  1. Google offer financial opportunity to other business and people more than Yahoo! does, and that will create a very vast network of business, which will result to the exponential rate of Google's business growth.
  2. Google really used 'peer to peer' system to create a super knowledge center sourced from every affiliates and users it embraced.
  3. Google offer more satisfactions to the user, that will create exponential rate of demands growth.
All we have to do to proof it is just evaluate it against the principles of contributions,7 creation of value innovation,8 and velocity.9


So, what do you think?

____________

1- Sakazaki, Lloyd. Picking the Internet Leader Using Money Value of Time. Lloyd's Investment Blog, 18 Apr. 2005. lloydsinvestment.blogspot.com 01 Feb 2007. http://lloydsinvestment.blogspot.com/2005/04/picking-internet-leader-using-money.html

2Munarriz, Rick Aristotle. Google Scores a 100. Fool. The Motley Fool, 16 Nov. 2006. Fool.com. 01 Feb. 2007. http://www.fool.com/investing/high-growth/2006/11/16/google-scores-a-100.aspx: "It certainly didn't take Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) all that long to graduate to the head of the class. Less than eight months after being initiated into the Standard & Poor's 500 equity index, the search engine giant is being promoted to join the elite S&P 100 ranks as well. ... Companies like eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY)Yahoo! (Nasdaq: YHOO) have been sitting on the S&P 500 for a long time but have never made the S&P 100 cut. The closest that the constituents in the choosy index get to having an online bent would be MSN.com parent Microsoft(Nasdaq: MSFT) and AOL's Time Warner (NYSE: TWX). Congrats, Google. Just as your stock finds itself a good trading day away from hitting the $500 mark, it's good to know that you can be honored by hitting the 100 mark too."

3To proof it, just surf the Internet, and count, how many times you see websites with Google Adsense Advertising. Indication of that shown by a small sentence: "Ads by Google" in the advertising area of the web pages.

4Remember Napster.

5
"To which countries does Google send local currency checks?" Google Adsense Help Center. Google, Inc., 2007. Google.com 01 Feb. 2007.

6Surf the Internet, and note, how many times you visit blog pages.

7
Packard, David. "Speech by Dave Packard to HP Managers" in The HP Way. USA: HarperCollins Publisher, 1995. Reprint: 2005. p. xix - xxix.

8Innovation that could create a new market is a Value Innovation. Value Innovation is an innovation that create a value and satisfaction to the customers.
See:
- Drucker,
Peter F. "Test of Innovation" in The Daily Drucker. USA: HarperBusiness, 2004. p. 79.
- Kim,
W. Chan, and Rene Mauborgne, Blue Ocean Strategy: How to Create Uncontested Market Space and Make the Competition Irrelevant. Harvard Business School Press, 2005.

9
Velocity means maximizing performance. By means of velocity, DELL efficiently could manage to have inventory for just 5 days. That means, DELL inventory will be finished if after 5 days new stock has not arrived. See: Dell, Michael. Direct From DELL: Strategies that Revolutionized an Industry. USA: HarperCollins Publisher, 1999. Reprint: 2000.

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